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Prediction for CME (2025-10-30T11:04:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-10-30T11:04Z
CME Note: Filament eruption from the northeast Earth-facing disk. Largely obscured by far sided events. There is a possible very weak CME arrival at L1 around 2025-11-02T21:13Z, marked by the separation in magnetic field components and rotation of two components, as well as a minor drop in temperature. Btotal increased from ~6nT to ~9nT.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-11-02T21:13Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-11-02T00:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note: 
Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 4.5
GONG: mrzqs
Note that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 
Radial velocity (km/s): 830
Longitude (deg): 41E
Latitude (deg): 29N
Half-angular width (deg): 28

Notes: 
Space weather advisor:
Lead Time: 45.67 hour(s)
Difference: 21.22 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2025-10-31T23:33Z
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